Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2010-2020
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  Total Population Population Change Components of Change
County April 2010 Estimate Base July 2020 Projection Numeric Percent Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
Alamance 151,198 171,207 20,009 13.2 18,854 16,678 2,176 17,833
Alexander 37,192 38,689 1,497 4.0 3,728 4,012 -284 1,781
Alleghany 11,154 11,622 468 4.2 1,020 1,457 -437 905
Anson 26,928 25,458 -1,470 -5.5 2,603 3,079 -476 -994
Ashe 27,238 27,842 604 2.2 2,390 3,550 -1,160 1,764
Avery 17,806 17,923 117 0.7 1,452 2,072 -620 737
Beaufort 47,763 47,363 -400 -0.8 4,924 6,222 -1,298 898
Bertie 21,280 19,582 -1,698 -8.0 1,929 2,672 -743 -955
Bladen 35,182 33,881 -1,301 -3.7 3,653 4,268 -615 -686
Brunswick 107,431 143,157 35,726 33.3 10,831 14,097 -3,266 38,992
Buncombe 238,328 268,690 30,362 12.7 26,513 26,556 -43 30,405
Burke 90,838 92,610 1,772 2.0 9,157 10,694 -1,537 3,309
Cabarrus 178,086 217,144 39,058 21.9 25,473 15,883 9,590 29,468
Caldwell 83,047 84,308 1,261 1.5 8,359 9,712 -1,353 2,614
Camden 9,980 10,499 519 5.2 966 850 116 403
Carteret 66,463 71,582 5,119 7.7 6,178 8,370 -2,192 7,311
Caswell 23,748 23,300 -448 -1.9 2,145 2,829 -684 236
Catawba 154,758 159,183 4,425 2.9 17,942 16,840 1,102 3,323
Chatham 63,479 78,040 14,561 22.9 6,696 7,210 -514 15,075
Cherokee 27,441 29,939 2,498 9.1 2,380 3,850 -1,470 3,968
Chowan 14,793 13,926 -867 -5.9 1,505 1,974 -469 -398
Clay 10,591 11,966 1,375 13.0 921 1,510 -589 1,964
Cleveland 98,030 99,151 1,121 1.1 11,116 11,988 -872 1,993
Columbus 58,107 56,475 -1,632 -2.8 6,359 7,324 -965 -667
Craven 103,503 103,588 85 0.1 15,368 10,930 4,438 -4,353
Cumberland 319,433 329,167 9,734 3.0 56,904 25,844 31,060 -21,326
Currituck 23,547 28,633 5,086 21.6 2,664 2,320 344 4,742
Dare 33,920 38,055 4,135 12.2 3,683 3,291 392 3,743
Davidson 162,833 169,834 7,001 4.3 18,310 17,892 418 6,583
Davie 41,221 44,209 2,988 7.2 4,100 4,537 -437 3,425
Duplin 58,404 59,234 830 1.4 7,615 5,793 1,822 -992
Durham 269,984 320,933 50,949 18.9 44,081 20,479 23,602 27,347
Edgecombe 56,545 52,696 -3,849 -6.8 6,425 6,597 -172 -3,677
Forsyth 350,674 385,208 34,534 9.8 46,680 33,530 13,150 21,384
Franklin 60,558 69,883 9,325 15.4 7,245 5,896 1,349 7,976
Gaston 206,117 224,998 18,881 9.2 26,271 23,317 2,954 15,927
Gates 12,186 12,125 -61 -0.5 1,129 1,301 -172 111
Graham 8,861 8,763 -98 -1.1 910 1,145 -235 137
Granville 57,522 63,304 5,782 10.1 5,966 5,665 301 5,481
Greene 21,359 21,301 -58 -0.3 2,220 2,064 156 -214
Guilford 488,418 544,715 56,297 11.5 63,647 43,832 19,815 36,482
Halifax 54,634 51,026 -3,608 -6.6 6,026 6,910 -884 -2,724
Harnett 114,697 138,192 23,495 20.5 19,003 9,908 9,095 14,400
Haywood 59,034 63,950 4,916 8.3 6,059 7,875 -1,816 6,732
Henderson 106,705 120,500 13,795 12.9 11,183 14,727 -3,544 17,339
Hertford 24,671 24,041 -630 -2.6 2,412 3,035 -623 -7
Hoke 46,889 58,797 11,908 25.4 9,520 3,275 6,245 5,663
Hyde 5,817 5,398 -419 -7.2 475 636 -161 -258
Iredell 159,462 185,517 26,055 16.3 19,309 15,823 3,486 22,569
Jackson 40,276 45,545 5,269 13.1 4,063 3,904 159 5,110
Johnston 168,872 209,403 40,531 24.0 24,265 14,177 10,088 30,443
Jones 10,166 10,100 -66 -0.6 1,026 1,329 -303 237
Lee 57,858 60,793 2,935 5.1 8,164 5,846 2,318 617
Lenoir 59,518 57,004 -2,514 -4.2 6,798 7,538 -740 -1,774
Lincoln 77,966 87,395 9,429 12.1 8,297 8,045 252 9,177
Macon 33,917 37,160 3,243 9.6 3,576 4,739 -1,163 4,406
Madison 20,789 23,069 2,280 11.0 2,026 2,513 -487 2,767
Martin 24,512 23,076 -1,436 -5.9 2,597 3,376 -779 -657
McDowell 44,996 46,800 1,804 4.0 4,751 5,355 -604 2,408
Mecklenburg 919,650 1,138,473 218,823 23.8 148,322 61,885 86,437 132,386
Mitchell 15,576 15,243 -333 -2.1 1,484 2,216 -732 399
Montgomery 27,784 28,085 301 1.1 3,214 2,979 235 66
Moore 88,246 102,838 14,592 16.5 10,905 11,752 -847 15,439
Nash 95,829 95,616 -213 -0.2 11,256 10,700 556 -769
New Hanover 202,683 241,782 39,099 19.3 23,540 19,481 4,059 35,040
Northampton 22,101 20,453 -1,648 -7.5 2,005 2,904 -899 -749
Onslow 177,799 203,464 25,665 14.4 41,715 10,810 30,905 -5,240
Orange 133,688 147,451 13,763 10.3 12,527 8,384 4,143 9,620
Pamlico 13,143 13,311 168 1.3 952 1,694 -742 910
Pasquotank 40,661 39,811 -850 -2.1 5,082 4,052 1,030 -1,880
Pender 52,198 64,820 12,622 24.2 6,486 5,599 887 11,735
Perquimans 13,453 13,855 402 3.0 1,324 1,746 -422 824
Person 39,472 40,273 801 2.0 4,412 4,502 -90 891
Pitt 168,166 182,401 14,235 8.5 21,658 13,124 8,534 5,701
Polk 20,520 21,760 1,240 6.0 1,547 3,046 -1,499 2,739
Randolph 141,801 144,344 2,543 1.8 16,503 14,952 1,551 992
Richmond 46,642 44,866 -1,776 -3.8 5,587 5,667 -80 -1,696
Robeson 134,233 129,446 -4,787 -3.6 18,736 13,653 5,083 -9,870
Rockingham 93,631 90,980 -2,651 -2.8 9,713 11,657 -1,944 -707
Rowan 138,518 144,278 5,760 4.2 16,209 15,892 317 5,443
Rutherford 67,816 69,706 1,890 2.8 7,196 8,886 -1,690 3,580
Sampson 63,469 64,307 838 1.3 8,648 6,927 1,721 -883
Scotland 36,157 35,821 -336 -0.9 4,737 4,225 512 -848
Stanly 60,586 64,384 3,798 6.3 6,995 7,110 -115 3,913
Stokes 47,417 46,595 -822 -1.7 4,270 5,471 -1,201 379
Surry 73,748 73,117 -631 -0.9 7,823 9,029 -1,206 575
Swain 13,981 15,129 1,148 8.2 2,006 1,934 72 1,076
Transylvania 33,087 35,777 2,690 8.1 2,899 4,475 -1,576 4,266
Tyrrell 4,407 4,309 -98 -2.2 450 487 -37 -61
Union 201,349 242,474 41,125 20.4 26,198 14,136 12,062 29,063
Vance 45,419 45,207 -212 -0.5 5,857 5,203 654 -866
Wake 901,059 1,119,165 218,106 24.2 131,123 53,886 77,237 140,869
Warren 21,024 20,052 -972 -4.6 1,934 2,515 -581 -391
Washington 13,214 12,072 -1,142 -8.6 1,376 1,651 -275 -867
Watauga 51,064 60,096 9,032 17.7 3,856 3,655 201 8,831
Wayne 122,646 126,560 3,914 3.2 17,087 12,481 4,606 -692
Wilkes 69,303 70,494 1,191 1.7 7,130 8,276 -1,146 2,337
Wilson 81,230 82,836 1,606 2.0 9,943 8,887 1,056 550
Yadkin 38,409 38,944 535 1.4 4,105 4,438 -333 868
Yancey 17,817 18,461 644 3.6 1,805 2,337 -532 1,176
State 9,535,721 10,647,005 1,111,284 11.7 1,248,478 909,850 338,628 772,656
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2017 and Population Projections, Vintage 2018

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Last updated December 3, 2018