Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2010-2020
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  Total Population Population Change Components of Change
County April 2010 Estimate Base July 2020 Projection Numeric Percent Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
Alamance 151,155 170,698 19,543 12.9 18,702 16,759 1,943 17,600
Alexander 37,182 38,524 1,342 3.6 3,641 4,044 -403 1,745
Alleghany 11,152 11,558 406 3.6 961 1,478 -517 923
Anson 26,929 23,889 -3,040 -11.3 2,612 3,104 -492 -2,548
Ashe 27,240 28,020 780 2.9 2,301 3,567 -1,266 2,046
Avery 17,807 18,182 375 2.1 1,451 2,098 -647 1,022
Beaufort 47,784 47,400 -384 -0.8 4,796 6,261 -1,465 1,081
Bertie 21,275 19,496 -1,779 -8.4 1,842 2,701 -859 -920
Bladen 35,170 34,421 -749 -2.1 3,609 4,316 -707 -42
Brunswick 107,429 147,644 40,215 37.4 10,534 14,100 -3,566 43,781
Buncombe 238,330 264,408 26,078 10.9 26,042 26,675 -633 26,711
Burke 90,837 91,708 871 1.0 9,014 10,740 -1,726 2,597
Cabarrus 178,121 216,841 38,720 21.7 24,866 15,915 8,951 29,769
Caldwell 83,058 84,230 1,172 1.4 8,283 9,773 -1,490 2,662
Camden 9,980 10,575 595 6.0 950 856 94 501
Carteret 66,463 71,352 4,889 7.4 5,952 8,448 -2,496 7,385
Caswell 23,731 23,462 -269 -1.1 2,124 2,843 -719 450
Catawba 154,717 160,732 6,015 3.9 17,716 16,919 797 5,218
Chatham 63,485 77,061 13,576 21.4 6,518 7,201 -683 14,259
Cherokee 27,447 29,610 2,163 7.9 2,365 3,868 -1,503 3,666
Chowan 14,793 14,114 -679 -4.6 1,468 1,997 -529 -150
Clay 10,590 11,759 1,169 11.0 877 1,514 -637 1,806
Cleveland 98,032 100,814 2,782 2.8 11,181 12,065 -884 3,666
Columbus 58,124 56,002 -2,122 -3.7 6,217 7,347 -1,130 -992
Craven 103,498 103,016 -482 -0.5 15,118 11,044 4,074 -4,556
Cumberland 319,431 333,531 14,100 4.4 57,037 26,049 30,988 -16,888
Currituck 23,547 28,048 4,501 19.1 2,578 2,311 267 4,234
Dare 33,920 38,027 4,107 12.1 3,537 3,309 228 3,879
Davidson 162,822 170,370 7,548 4.6 17,902 18,007 -105 7,653
Davie 41,221 43,746 2,525 6.1 3,985 4,548 -563 3,088
Duplin 58,417 60,177 1,760 3.0 7,524 5,826 1,698 62
Durham 270,001 321,261 51,260 19.0 43,508 20,564 22,944 28,316
Edgecombe 56,539 52,024 -4,515 -8.0 6,394 6,681 -287 -4,228
Forsyth 350,638 380,964 30,326 8.6 45,845 33,708 12,137 18,189
Franklin 60,563 71,196 10,633 17.6 7,145 5,923 1,222 9,411
Gaston 206,098 224,168 18,070 8.8 26,010 23,440 2,570 15,500
Gates 12,185 11,908 -277 -2.3 1,073 1,318 -245 -32
Graham 8,858 8,642 -216 -2.4 893 1,153 -260 44
Granville 57,538 61,628 4,090 7.1 5,861 5,677 184 3,906
Greene 21,353 20,951 -402 -1.9 2,204 2,077 127 -529
Guilford 488,454 538,431 49,977 10.2 62,644 44,108 18,536 31,441
Halifax 54,624 50,898 -3,726 -6.8 5,866 6,963 -1,097 -2,629
Harnett 114,691 136,705 22,014 19.2 18,821 9,940 8,881 13,133
Haywood 59,032 63,481 4,449 7.5 5,811 7,928 -2,117 6,566
Henderson 106,719 118,563 11,844 11.1 10,923 14,733 -3,810 15,654
Hertford 24,677 23,720 -957 -3.9 2,352 3,068 -716 -241
Hoke 46,889 54,682 7,793 16.6 9,364 3,297 6,067 1,726
Hyde 5,817 5,119 -698 -12.0 453 644 -191 -507
Iredell 159,464 183,309 23,845 15.0 18,845 15,803 3,042 20,803
Jackson 40,270 44,354 4,084 10.1 3,944 3,913 31 4,053
Johnston 168,878 211,626 42,748 25.3 23,654 14,218 9,436 33,312
Jones 10,167 10,067 -100 -1.0 989 1,344 -355 255
Lee 57,849 61,663 3,814 6.6 8,112 5,936 2,176 1,638
Lenoir 59,507 56,876 -2,631 -4.4 6,632 7,592 -960 -1,671
Lincoln 78,014 88,699 10,685 13.7 8,256 8,076 180 10,505
Macon 33,925 37,014 3,089 9.1 3,419 4,763 -1,344 4,433
Madison 20,782 22,500 1,718 8.3 1,997 2,530 -533 2,251
Martin 24,515 22,904 -1,611 -6.6 2,487 3,391 -904 -707
McDowell 45,002 46,530 1,528 3.4 4,636 5,387 -751 2,279
Mecklenburg 919,664 1,118,775 199,111 21.7 146,576 61,890 84,686 114,425
Mitchell 15,581 15,112 -469 -3.0 1,440 2,240 -800 331
Montgomery 27,782 27,753 -29 -0.1 3,122 3,007 115 -144
Moore 88,250 102,814 14,564 16.5 10,846 11,779 -933 15,497
Nash 95,829 96,669 840 0.9 11,081 10,792 289 551
New Hanover 202,683 235,231 32,548 16.1 22,886 19,502 3,384 29,164
Northampton 22,106 20,054 -2,052 -9.3 1,894 2,909 -1,015 -1,037
Onslow 177,801 210,056 32,255 18.1 42,478 10,985 31,493 762
Orange 133,693 147,907 14,214 10.6 12,326 8,395 3,931 10,283
Pamlico 13,143 13,277 134 1.0 898 1,710 -812 946
Pasquotank 40,661 39,952 -709 -1.7 5,000 4,083 917 -1,626
Pender 52,196 63,949 11,753 22.5 6,355 5,629 726 11,027
Perquimans 13,452 13,807 355 2.6 1,283 1,747 -464 819
Person 39,476 40,450 974 2.5 4,274 4,548 -274 1,248
Pitt 168,176 183,285 15,109 9.0 21,551 13,221 8,330 6,779
Polk 20,516 21,923 1,407 6.9 1,496 3,068 -1,572 2,979
Randolph 141,824 145,246 3,422 2.4 16,215 15,101 1,114 2,308
Richmond 46,647 45,014 -1,633 -3.5 5,633 5,734 -101 -1,532
Robeson 134,229 131,238 -2,991 -2.2 18,606 13,816 4,790 -7,781
Rockingham 93,645 91,915 -1,730 -1.8 9,418 11,759 -2,341 611
Rowan 138,494 143,274 4,780 3.5 16,070 15,976 94 4,686
Rutherford 67,819 69,049 1,230 1.8 6,962 8,920 -1,958 3,188
Sampson 63,471 64,053 582 0.9 8,488 6,989 1,499 -917
Scotland 36,160 35,724 -436 -1.2 4,640 4,252 388 -824
Stanly 60,586 64,691 4,105 6.8 6,904 7,154 -250 4,355
Stokes 47,413 46,684 -729 -1.5 4,085 5,537 -1,452 723
Surry 73,749 73,548 -201 -0.3 7,754 9,160 -1,406 1,205
Swain 13,978 14,489 511 3.7 1,884 1,958 -74 585
Transylvania 33,089 35,511 2,422 7.3 2,763 4,479 -1,716 4,138
Tyrrell 4,407 3,767 -640 -14.5 409 489 -80 -560
Union 201,332 238,740 37,408 18.6 24,559 14,114 10,445 26,963
Vance 45,408 45,435 27 0.1 5,801 5,263 538 -511
Wake 901,052 1,102,782 201,730 22.4 129,290 53,840 75,450 126,280
Warren 21,028 19,767 -1,261 -6.0 1,812 2,535 -723 -538
Washington 13,193 12,039 -1,154 -8.7 1,329 1,664 -335 -819
Watauga 51,061 57,011 5,950 11.7 3,650 3,667 -17 5,967
Wayne 122,661 126,339 3,678 3.0 17,044 12,651 4,393 -715
Wilkes 69,310 70,263 953 1.4 6,978 8,310 -1,332 2,285
Wilson 81,224 83,495 2,271 2.8 9,872 8,968 904 1,367
Yadkin 38,409 38,145 -264 -0.7 3,960 4,451 -491 227
Yancey 17,817 18,909 1,092 6.1 1,765 2,358 -593 1,685
State 9,535,751 10,587,440 1,051,689 11.0 1,229,239 914,507 314,732 736,957
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2019 and Population Projections, Vintage 2020

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Last updated February 26, 2021