Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2020-2030 |
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Total Population | Population Change | Components of Change | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | July 2020 Projection | July 2030 Projection | Numeric | Percent | Births | Deaths | Natural Increase | Net Migration |
Alamance | 170,698 | 188,660 | 17,962 | 10.5 | 21,006 | 19,904 | 1,102 | 16,860 |
Alexander | 38,524 | 40,286 | 1,762 | 4.6 | 3,939 | 5,127 | -1,188 | 2,950 |
Alleghany | 11,558 | 12,302 | 744 | 6.4 | 1,191 | 1,699 | -508 | 1,252 |
Anson | 23,889 | 23,277 | -612 | -2.6 | 2,272 | 3,193 | -921 | 309 |
Ashe | 28,020 | 30,294 | 2,274 | 8.1 | 2,347 | 4,213 | -1,866 | 4,140 |
Avery | 18,182 | 18,780 | 598 | 3.3 | 1,450 | 2,407 | -957 | 1,555 |
Beaufort | 47,400 | 47,069 | -331 | -0.7 | 4,564 | 7,094 | -2,530 | 2,199 |
Bertie | 19,496 | 18,496 | -1,000 | -5.1 | 1,798 | 2,569 | -771 | -229 |
Bladen | 34,421 | 33,813 | -608 | -1.8 | 3,633 | 4,652 | -1,019 | 411 |
Brunswick | 147,644 | 180,776 | 33,132 | 22.4 | 11,839 | 22,910 | -11,071 | 44,203 |
Buncombe | 264,408 | 283,363 | 18,955 | 7.2 | 24,451 | 31,192 | -6,741 | 25,696 |
Burke | 91,708 | 93,787 | 2,079 | 2.3 | 9,683 | 11,971 | -2,288 | 4,367 |
Cabarrus | 216,841 | 257,692 | 40,851 | 18.8 | 30,896 | 20,889 | 10,007 | 30,844 |
Caldwell | 84,230 | 88,161 | 3,931 | 4.7 | 8,967 | 11,271 | -2,304 | 6,235 |
Camden | 10,575 | 10,617 | 42 | 0.4 | 1,061 | 1,123 | -62 | 104 |
Carteret | 71,352 | 76,159 | 4,807 | 6.7 | 5,823 | 10,158 | -4,335 | 9,142 |
Caswell | 23,462 | 23,348 | -114 | -0.5 | 2,175 | 3,234 | -1,059 | 945 |
Catawba | 160,732 | 172,637 | 11,905 | 7.4 | 18,448 | 20,402 | -1,954 | 13,859 |
Chatham | 77,061 | 91,813 | 14,752 | 19.1 | 7,774 | 10,100 | -2,326 | 17,078 |
Cherokee | 29,610 | 32,106 | 2,496 | 8.4 | 2,694 | 4,671 | -1,977 | 4,473 |
Chowan | 14,114 | 13,767 | -347 | -2.5 | 1,421 | 2,092 | -671 | 324 |
Clay | 11,759 | 12,870 | 1,111 | 9.4 | 1,054 | 1,855 | -801 | 1,912 |
Cleveland | 100,814 | 103,964 | 3,150 | 3.1 | 11,688 | 14,159 | -2,471 | 5,621 |
Columbus | 56,002 | 53,476 | -2,526 | -4.5 | 5,851 | 7,464 | -1,613 | -913 |
Craven | 103,016 | 102,411 | -605 | -0.6 | 13,423 | 11,394 | 2,029 | -2,634 |
Cumberland | 333,531 | 334,709 | 1,178 | 0.4 | 46,813 | 29,886 | 16,927 | -15,749 |
Currituck | 28,048 | 32,017 | 3,969 | 14.2 | 3,086 | 3,021 | 65 | 3,904 |
Dare | 38,027 | 41,268 | 3,241 | 8.5 | 3,675 | 4,582 | -907 | 4,148 |
Davidson | 170,370 | 182,801 | 12,431 | 7.3 | 19,901 | 21,630 | -1,729 | 14,160 |
Davie | 43,746 | 49,255 | 5,509 | 12.6 | 4,675 | 5,842 | -1,167 | 6,676 |
Duplin | 60,177 | 61,384 | 1,207 | 2.0 | 7,495 | 6,305 | 1,190 | 17 |
Durham | 321,261 | 365,859 | 44,598 | 13.9 | 44,406 | 25,744 | 18,662 | 25,936 |
Edgecombe | 52,024 | 47,855 | -4,169 | -8.0 | 5,446 | 7,143 | -1,697 | -2,472 |
Forsyth | 380,964 | 411,256 | 30,292 | 8.0 | 46,294 | 39,877 | 6,417 | 23,875 |
Franklin | 71,196 | 82,418 | 11,222 | 15.8 | 8,477 | 8,186 | 291 | 10,931 |
Gaston | 224,168 | 240,069 | 15,901 | 7.1 | 27,092 | 26,901 | 191 | 15,710 |
Gates | 11,908 | 11,736 | -172 | -1.4 | 1,038 | 1,456 | -418 | 246 |
Graham | 8,642 | 8,450 | -192 | -2.2 | 847 | 1,194 | -347 | 155 |
Granville | 61,628 | 68,078 | 6,450 | 10.5 | 6,525 | 7,023 | -498 | 6,948 |
Greene | 20,951 | 20,844 | -107 | -0.5 | 2,161 | 2,391 | -230 | 123 |
Guilford | 538,431 | 583,552 | 45,121 | 8.4 | 63,660 | 52,990 | 10,670 | 34,451 |
Halifax | 50,898 | 47,093 | -3,805 | -7.5 | 5,583 | 7,004 | -1,421 | -2,384 |
Harnett | 136,705 | 154,930 | 18,225 | 13.3 | 19,495 | 12,620 | 6,875 | 11,350 |
Haywood | 63,481 | 67,931 | 4,450 | 7.0 | 6,386 | 9,509 | -3,123 | 7,573 |
Henderson | 118,563 | 133,007 | 14,444 | 12.2 | 12,230 | 17,554 | -5,324 | 19,768 |
Hertford | 23,720 | 23,310 | -410 | -1.7 | 2,134 | 3,321 | -1,187 | 777 |
Hoke | 54,682 | 57,946 | 3,264 | 6.0 | 8,073 | 4,233 | 3,840 | -576 |
Hyde | 5,119 | 4,853 | -266 | -5.2 | 397 | 709 | -312 | 46 |
Iredell | 183,309 | 207,217 | 23,908 | 13.0 | 22,661 | 20,351 | 2,310 | 21,598 |
Jackson | 44,354 | 48,165 | 3,811 | 8.6 | 4,015 | 4,936 | -921 | 4,732 |
Johnston | 211,626 | 264,618 | 52,992 | 25.0 | 31,267 | 20,833 | 10,434 | 42,558 |
Jones | 10,067 | 10,006 | -61 | -0.6 | 950 | 1,411 | -461 | 400 |
Lee | 61,663 | 66,893 | 5,230 | 8.5 | 8,499 | 6,861 | 1,638 | 3,592 |
Lenoir | 56,876 | 55,751 | -1,125 | -2.0 | 6,714 | 7,716 | -1,002 | -123 |
Lincoln | 88,699 | 101,026 | 12,327 | 13.9 | 9,743 | 10,934 | -1,191 | 13,518 |
Macon | 37,014 | 42,382 | 5,368 | 14.5 | 4,032 | 5,793 | -1,761 | 7,129 |
Madison | 22,500 | 23,843 | 1,343 | 6.0 | 2,222 | 3,067 | -845 | 2,188 |
Martin | 22,904 | 21,511 | -1,393 | -6.1 | 2,579 | 3,475 | -896 | -497 |
McDowell | 46,530 | 47,712 | 1,182 | 2.5 | 4,845 | 6,160 | -1,315 | 2,497 |
Mecklenburg | 1,118,775 | 1,329,914 | 211,139 | 18.9 | 152,503 | 83,585 | 68,918 | 142,221 |
Mitchell | 15,112 | 14,805 | -307 | -2.0 | 1,444 | 2,349 | -905 | 598 |
Montgomery | 27,753 | 28,006 | 253 | 0.9 | 3,182 | 3,426 | -244 | 497 |
Moore | 102,814 | 120,258 | 17,444 | 17.0 | 13,315 | 14,029 | -714 | 18,158 |
Nash | 96,669 | 99,926 | 3,257 | 3.4 | 11,585 | 12,528 | -943 | 4,200 |
New Hanover | 235,231 | 267,340 | 32,109 | 13.6 | 23,981 | 24,437 | -456 | 32,565 |
Northampton | 20,054 | 17,124 | -2,930 | -14.6 | 1,907 | 2,677 | -770 | -2,160 |
Onslow | 210,056 | 231,558 | 21,502 | 10.2 | 38,031 | 14,321 | 23,710 | -2,208 |
Orange | 147,907 | 162,267 | 14,360 | 9.7 | 12,467 | 10,900 | 1,567 | 12,793 |
Pamlico | 13,277 | 13,392 | 115 | 0.9 | 948 | 2,119 | -1,171 | 1,286 |
Pasquotank | 39,952 | 39,729 | -223 | -0.6 | 4,725 | 4,443 | 282 | -505 |
Pender | 63,949 | 72,153 | 8,204 | 12.8 | 7,297 | 7,377 | -80 | 8,284 |
Perquimans | 13,807 | 14,826 | 1,019 | 7.4 | 1,307 | 2,148 | -841 | 1,860 |
Person | 40,450 | 41,560 | 1,110 | 2.7 | 4,637 | 5,155 | -518 | 1,628 |
Pitt | 183,285 | 205,556 | 22,271 | 12.2 | 23,063 | 15,983 | 7,080 | 15,191 |
Polk | 21,923 | 23,544 | 1,621 | 7.4 | 1,746 | 3,334 | -1,588 | 3,209 |
Randolph | 145,246 | 152,412 | 7,166 | 4.9 | 17,419 | 17,678 | -259 | 7,425 |
Richmond | 45,014 | 43,921 | -1,093 | -2.4 | 5,502 | 5,821 | -319 | -774 |
Robeson | 131,238 | 129,627 | -1,611 | -1.2 | 16,706 | 15,136 | 1,570 | -3,181 |
Rockingham | 91,915 | 91,586 | -329 | -0.4 | 9,573 | 12,531 | -2,958 | 2,629 |
Rowan | 143,274 | 148,482 | 5,208 | 3.6 | 16,564 | 18,004 | -1,440 | 6,648 |
Rutherford | 69,049 | 72,706 | 3,657 | 5.3 | 7,420 | 9,771 | -2,351 | 6,008 |
Sampson | 64,053 | 64,058 | 5 | 0.0 | 8,675 | 7,622 | 1,053 | -1,048 |
Scotland | 35,724 | 35,389 | -335 | -0.9 | 4,554 | 4,400 | 154 | -489 |
Stanly | 64,691 | 67,759 | 3,068 | 4.7 | 7,190 | 8,472 | -1,282 | 4,350 |
Stokes | 46,684 | 46,804 | 120 | 0.3 | 4,477 | 6,467 | -1,990 | 2,110 |
Surry | 73,548 | 74,383 | 835 | 1.1 | 8,351 | 9,970 | -1,619 | 2,454 |
Swain | 14,489 | 14,838 | 349 | 2.4 | 1,747 | 2,039 | -292 | 641 |
Transylvania | 35,511 | 38,352 | 2,841 | 8.0 | 3,123 | 5,400 | -2,277 | 5,118 |
Tyrrell | 3,767 | 3,701 | -66 | -1.8 | 372 | 478 | -106 | 40 |
Union | 238,740 | 286,899 | 48,159 | 20.2 | 32,658 | 20,508 | 12,150 | 36,009 |
Vance | 45,435 | 45,431 | -4 | -0.0 | 5,820 | 5,705 | 115 | -119 |
Wake | 1,102,782 | 1,305,154 | 202,372 | 18.4 | 139,070 | 78,857 | 60,213 | 142,159 |
Warren | 19,767 | 17,972 | -1,795 | -9.1 | 1,718 | 2,773 | -1,055 | -740 |
Washington | 12,039 | 11,194 | -845 | -7.0 | 1,405 | 1,738 | -333 | -512 |
Watauga | 57,011 | 63,224 | 6,213 | 10.9 | 4,236 | 4,461 | -225 | 6,438 |
Wayne | 126,339 | 130,737 | 4,398 | 3.5 | 16,083 | 13,840 | 2,243 | 2,155 |
Wilkes | 70,263 | 72,721 | 2,458 | 3.5 | 7,556 | 9,629 | -2,073 | 4,531 |
Wilson | 83,495 | 89,175 | 5,680 | 6.8 | 10,223 | 10,199 | 24 | 5,656 |
Yadkin | 38,145 | 38,070 | -75 | -0.2 | 4,191 | 4,967 | -776 | 701 |
Yancey | 18,909 | 21,381 | 2,472 | 13.1 | 2,138 | 2,741 | -603 | 3,075 |
State | 10,587,440 | 11,677,603 | 1,090,163 | 10.3 | 1,281,773 | 1,114,416 | 167,357 | 922,806 |
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2019 and Population Projections, Vintage 2020 |
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Last updated February 22, 2021 |