Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2020-2030
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  Total Population Population Change Components of Change
County July 2020 Projection July 2030 Projection Numeric Percent Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
Alamance 171,207 193,013 21,806 12.7 21,718 20,290 1,428 20,378
Alexander 38,689 39,461 772 2.0 4,080 5,048 -968 1,740
Alleghany 11,622 12,403 781 6.7 1,293 1,661 -368 1,149
Anson 25,458 25,459 1 0.0 2,429 3,334 -905 906
Ashe 27,842 29,299 1,457 5.2 2,515 4,196 -1,681 3,138
Avery 17,923 17,927 4 0.0 1,467 2,344 -877 881
Beaufort 47,363 46,953 -410 -0.9 4,756 7,097 -2,341 1,931
Bertie 19,582 19,583 1 0.0 1,923 2,636 -713 714
Bladen 33,881 31,794 -2,087 -6.2 3,686 4,462 -776 -1,311
Brunswick 143,157 176,429 33,272 23.2 12,317 22,785 -10,468 43,740
Buncombe 268,690 299,735 31,045 11.6 27,026 31,858 -4,832 35,877
Burke 92,610 97,129 4,519 4.9 10,025 12,349 -2,324 6,843
Cabarrus 217,144 260,271 43,127 19.9 31,739 21,122 10,617 32,510
Caldwell 84,308 88,135 3,827 4.5 9,271 11,294 -2,023 5,850
Camden 10,499 10,669 170 1.6 1,117 1,110 7 163
Carteret 71,582 76,957 5,375 7.5 6,359 10,071 -3,712 9,087
Caswell 23,300 23,299 -1 -0.0 2,231 3,263 -1,032 1,031
Catawba 159,183 165,203 6,020 3.8 18,832 19,793 -961 6,981
Chatham 78,040 95,788 17,748 22.7 8,049 10,613 -2,564 20,312
Cherokee 29,939 32,507 2,568 8.6 2,703 4,818 -2,115 4,683
Chowan 13,926 12,931 -995 -7.1 1,413 2,017 -604 -391
Clay 11,966 13,559 1,593 13.3 1,115 1,915 -800 2,393
Cleveland 99,151 99,908 757 0.8 11,507 13,666 -2,159 2,916
Columbus 56,475 56,474 -1 -0.0 6,453 7,805 -1,352 1,351
Craven 103,588 103,616 28 0.0 13,981 11,252 2,729 -2,701
Cumberland 329,167 329,250 83 0.0 46,409 29,598 16,811 -16,728
Currituck 28,633 35,187 6,554 22.9 3,336 3,228 108 6,446
Dare 38,055 40,983 2,928 7.7 3,855 4,526 -671 3,599
Davidson 169,834 180,208 10,374 6.1 20,276 21,408 -1,132 11,506
Davie 44,209 49,280 5,071 11.5 4,895 5,868 -973 6,044
Duplin 59,234 57,655 -1,579 -2.7 7,580 6,158 1,422 -3,001
Durham 320,933 367,357 46,424 14.5 45,958 25,819 20,139 26,285
Edgecombe 52,696 51,165 -1,531 -2.9 5,836 7,017 -1,181 -350
Forsyth 385,208 423,006 37,798 9.8 50,055 40,050 10,005 27,793
Franklin 69,883 80,682 10,799 15.5 8,447 8,090 357 10,442
Gaston 224,998 241,359 16,361 7.3 27,559 26,889 670 15,691
Gates 12,125 12,171 46 0.4 1,132 1,422 -290 336
Graham 8,763 8,737 -26 -0.3 917 1,227 -310 284
Granville 63,304 73,627 10,323 16.3 6,806 7,313 -507 10,830
Greene 21,301 21,300 -1 -0.0 2,280 2,417 -137 136
Guilford 544,715 606,724 62,009 11.4 69,306 53,533 15,773 46,236
Halifax 51,026 47,641 -3,385 -6.6 5,679 7,017 -1,338 -2,047
Harnett 138,192 159,804 21,612 15.6 20,338 12,797 7,541 14,071
Haywood 63,950 68,899 4,949 7.7 6,649 9,469 -2,820 7,769
Henderson 120,500 134,290 13,790 11.4 12,811 18,030 -5,219 19,009
Hertford 24,041 24,089 48 0.2 2,313 3,303 -990 1,038
Hoke 58,797 70,757 11,960 20.3 10,341 4,564 5,777 6,183
Hyde 5,398 5,147 -251 -4.6 467 696 -229 -22
Iredell 185,517 216,472 30,955 16.7 23,504 21,040 2,464 28,491
Jackson 45,545 51,897 6,352 13.9 4,598 5,073 -475 6,827
Johnston 209,403 252,858 43,455 20.8 31,177 20,296 10,881 32,574
Jones 10,100 10,100 0 0.0 991 1,410 -419 419
Lee 60,793 63,462 2,669 4.4 8,412 6,552 1,860 809
Lenoir 57,004 55,855 -1,149 -2.0 6,917 7,710 -793 -356
Lincoln 87,395 99,369 11,974 13.7 9,612 10,811 -1,199 13,173
Macon 37,160 42,382 5,222 14.1 4,280 5,819 -1,539 6,761
Madison 23,069 25,796 2,727 11.8 2,306 3,113 -807 3,534
Martin 23,076 22,013 -1,063 -4.6 2,741 3,522 -781 -282
McDowell 46,800 48,989 2,189 4.7 5,094 6,290 -1,196 3,385
Mecklenburg 1,138,473 1,354,203 215,730 18.9 158,387 85,234 73,153 142,577
Mitchell 15,243 15,255 12 0.1 1,552 2,320 -768 780
Montgomery 28,085 28,881 796 2.8 3,440 3,438 2 794
Moore 102,838 118,857 16,019 15.6 13,061 14,266 -1,205 17,224
Nash 95,616 96,053 437 0.5 11,407 12,150 -743 1,180
New Hanover 241,782 282,723 40,941 16.9 26,931 25,221 1,710 39,231
Northampton 20,453 19,126 -1,327 -6.5 2,025 2,879 -854 -473
Onslow 203,464 225,971 22,507 11.1 34,362 13,475 20,887 1,620
Orange 147,451 162,754 15,303 10.4 13,010 11,030 1,980 13,323
Pamlico 13,311 13,495 184 1.4 1,047 2,083 -1,036 1,220
Pasquotank 39,811 39,804 -7 -0.0 4,851 4,363 488 -495
Pender 64,820 76,632 11,812 18.2 7,736 7,463 273 11,539
Perquimans 13,855 14,789 934 6.7 1,395 2,174 -779 1,713
Person 40,273 41,302 1,029 2.6 4,716 5,050 -334 1,363
Pitt 182,401 197,470 15,069 8.3 22,204 15,689 6,515 8,554
Polk 21,760 23,069 1,309 6.0 1,849 3,298 -1,449 2,758
Randolph 144,344 146,524 2,180 1.5 17,722 17,003 719 1,461
Richmond 44,866 44,033 -833 -1.9 5,376 5,758 -382 -451
Robeson 129,446 120,174 -9,272 -7.2 16,421 14,623 1,798 -11,070
Rockingham 90,980 90,743 -237 -0.3 10,068 12,359 -2,291 2,054
Rowan 144,278 153,970 9,692 6.7 17,010 18,397 -1,387 11,079
Rutherford 69,706 74,011 4,305 6.2 7,667 10,024 -2,357 6,662
Sampson 64,307 65,014 707 1.1 9,091 7,616 1,475 -768
Scotland 35,821 35,916 95 0.3 4,652 4,404 248 -153
Stanly 64,384 68,784 4,400 6.8 7,270 8,474 -1,204 5,604
Stokes 46,595 46,574 -21 -0.0 4,639 6,263 -1,624 1,603
Surry 73,117 73,116 -1 -0.0 8,563 9,582 -1,019 1,018
Swain 15,129 16,455 1,326 8.8 2,067 2,068 -1 1,327
Transylvania 35,777 39,182 3,405 9.5 3,267 5,591 -2,324 5,729
Tyrrell 4,309 4,309 0 0.0 508 513 -5 5
Union 242,474 295,739 53,265 22.0 35,933 21,055 14,878 38,387
Vance 45,207 45,338 131 0.3 5,953 5,633 320 -189
Wake 1,119,165 1,351,791 232,626 20.8 147,820 80,488 67,332 165,294
Warren 20,052 19,712 -340 -1.7 1,916 2,810 -894 554
Washington 12,072 11,236 -836 -6.9 1,386 1,733 -347 -489
Watauga 60,096 72,338 12,242 20.4 5,705 4,667 1,038 11,204
Wayne 126,560 134,448 7,888 6.2 16,742 13,752 2,990 4,898
Wilkes 70,494 73,431 2,937 4.2 7,754 9,757 -2,003 4,940
Wilson 82,836 88,579 5,743 6.9 10,183 10,009 174 5,569
Yadkin 38,944 39,952 1,008 2.6 4,495 5,152 -657 1,665
Yancey 18,461 18,953 492 2.7 2,005 2,657 -652 1,144
State 10,647,005 11,847,719 1,200,714 11.3 1,333,070 1,119,393 213,677 987,037
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2017 and Population Projections, Vintage 2018

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Last updated December 3, 2018