Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2030-2038
Open as Excel File

  Total Population Population Change Natural Increase
County July 2030 Projection July 2038 Projection Numeric Percent Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
Alamance 193,013 210,460 17,447 9.0 18,761 19,538 -777 18,224
Alexander 39,461 39,669 208 0.5 3,289 4,672 -1,383 1,591
Alleghany 12,403 13,026 623 5.0 1,072 1,487 -415 1,038
Anson 25,459 25,459 0 0.0 1,793 2,962 -1,169 1,169
Ashe 29,299 30,465 1,166 4.0 2,124 3,877 -1,753 2,919
Avery 17,927 17,928 1 0.0 1,068 2,135 -1,067 1,068
Beaufort 46,953 46,628 -325 -0.7 3,704 6,309 -2,605 2,280
Bertie 19,583 19,582 -1 -0.0 1,345 2,303 -958 957
Bladen 31,794 30,124 -1,670 -5.3 2,738 3,611 -873 -797
Brunswick 176,429 203,047 26,618 15.1 11,310 25,332 -14,022 40,640
Buncombe 299,735 324,573 24,838 8.3 22,802 31,244 -8,442 33,280
Burke 97,129 100,745 3,616 3.7 8,028 11,266 -3,238 6,854
Cabarrus 260,271 294,680 34,409 13.2 28,913 21,968 6,945 27,464
Caldwell 88,135 91,157 3,022 3.4 7,324 10,340 -3,016 6,038
Camden 10,669 10,697 28 0.3 806 1,061 -255 283
Carteret 76,957 81,301 4,344 5.6 5,240 9,623 -4,383 8,727
Caswell 23,299 23,301 2 0.0 1,693 2,947 -1,254 1,256
Catawba 165,203 170,019 4,816 2.9 15,501 18,317 -2,816 7,632
Chatham 95,788 109,986 14,198 14.8 7,471 11,769 -4,298 18,496
Cherokee 32,507 33,930 1,423 4.4 2,203 4,604 -2,401 3,824
Chowan 12,931 12,133 -798 -6.2 1,056 1,611 -555 -243
Clay 13,559 14,831 1,272 9.4 962 1,870 -908 2,180
Cleveland 99,908 100,003 95 0.1 8,937 11,925 -2,988 3,083
Columbus 56,474 56,476 2 0.0 5,040 6,723 -1,683 1,685
Craven 103,616 103,621 5 0.0 12,288 9,181 3,107 -3,102
Cumberland 329,250 329,254 4 0.0 33,042 27,223 5,819 -5,815
Currituck 35,187 40,434 5,247 14.9 3,022 3,484 -462 5,709
Dare 40,983 42,260 1,277 3.1 3,170 4,510 -1,340 2,617
Davidson 180,208 188,508 8,300 4.6 16,288 19,787 -3,499 11,799
Davie 49,280 53,338 4,058 8.2 4,038 5,763 -1,725 5,783
Duplin 57,655 56,770 -885 -1.5 6,191 5,169 1,022 -1,907
Durham 367,357 404,491 37,134 10.1 43,257 26,492 16,765 20,369
Edgecombe 51,165 49,942 -1,223 -2.4 4,686 6,074 -1,388 165
Forsyth 423,006 453,140 30,134 7.1 43,245 38,132 5,113 25,021
Franklin 80,682 89,322 8,640 10.7 7,366 8,360 -994 9,634
Gaston 241,359 255,283 13,924 5.8 22,946 25,129 -2,183 16,107
Gates 12,171 12,172 1 0.0 753 1,315 -562 563
Graham 8,737 8,733 -4 -0.0 709 1,055 -346 342
Granville 73,627 81,883 8,256 11.2 5,823 7,629 -1,806 10,062
Greene 21,300 21,299 -1 -0.0 1,828 2,211 -383 382
Guilford 606,724 656,912 50,188 8.3 59,641 52,250 7,391 42,797
Halifax 47,641 44,935 -2,706 -5.7 4,052 5,841 -1,789 -917
Harnett 159,804 177,098 17,294 10.8 18,306 12,740 5,566 11,728
Haywood 68,899 72,859 3,960 5.7 5,469 8,713 -3,244 7,204
Henderson 134,290 143,128 8,838 6.6 11,211 17,204 -5,993 14,831
Hertford 24,089 24,126 37 0.2 1,861 2,839 -978 1,015
Hoke 70,757 81,988 11,231 15.9 9,647 4,874 4,773 6,458
Hyde 5,147 4,948 -199 -3.9 370 634 -264 65
Iredell 216,472 241,235 24,763 11.4 20,533 21,381 -848 25,611
Jackson 51,897 56,977 5,080 9.8 4,121 4,946 -825 5,905
Johnston 252,858 287,877 35,019 13.8 28,935 21,649 7,286 27,733
Jones 10,100 10,099 -1 -0.0 734 1,227 -493 492
Lee 63,462 64,872 1,410 2.2 7,106 5,884 1,222 188
Lenoir 55,855 54,937 -918 -1.6 5,415 6,495 -1,080 162
Lincoln 99,369 108,966 9,597 9.7 8,133 11,101 -2,968 12,565
Macon 42,382 46,559 4,177 9.9 3,760 5,493 -1,733 5,910
Madison 25,796 27,980 2,184 8.5 1,927 3,081 -1,154 3,338
Martin 22,013 21,163 -850 -3.9 2,001 2,913 -912 62
McDowell 48,989 50,723 1,734 3.5 4,121 5,835 -1,714 3,448
Mecklenburg 1,354,203 1,526,677 172,474 12.7 140,262 92,672 47,590 124,884
Mitchell 15,255 15,255 0 0.0 1,200 1,927 -727 727
Montgomery 28,881 29,517 636 2.2 2,871 3,124 -253 889
Moore 118,857 129,931 11,074 9.3 11,664 13,681 -2,017 13,091
Nash 96,053 96,061 8 0.0 8,696 11,102 -2,406 2,414
New Hanover 282,723 315,475 32,752 11.6 24,026 25,444 -1,418 34,170
Northampton 19,126 18,054 -1,072 -5.6 1,377 2,317 -940 -132
Onslow 225,971 243,975 18,004 8.0 36,966 12,978 23,988 -5,984
Orange 162,754 174,886 12,132 7.5 11,034 11,737 -703 12,835
Pamlico 13,495 13,647 152 1.1 793 1,900 -1,107 1,259
Pasquotank 39,804 39,802 -2 -0.0 3,956 3,832 124 -126
Pender 76,632 86,078 9,446 12.3 7,192 7,578 -386 9,832
Perquimans 14,789 15,622 833 5.6 1,135 2,012 -877 1,710
Person 41,302 41,885 583 1.4 3,612 4,640 -1,028 1,611
Pitt 197,470 209,525 12,055 6.1 19,435 15,291 4,144 7,911
Polk 23,069 23,959 890 3.9 1,381 3,093 -1,712 2,602
Randolph 146,524 148,270 1,746 1.2 14,414 15,277 -863 2,609
Richmond 44,033 43,365 -668 -1.5 4,129 4,933 -804 136
Robeson 120,174 112,753 -7,421 -6.2 11,937 12,557 -620 -6,801
Rockingham 90,743 90,739 -4 -0.0 7,524 10,740 -3,216 3,212
Rowan 153,970 161,721 7,751 5.0 14,401 17,156 -2,755 10,506
Rutherford 74,011 77,430 3,419 4.6 5,851 9,276 -3,425 6,844
Sampson 65,014 65,181 167 0.3 7,674 6,621 1,053 -886
Scotland 35,916 35,990 74 0.2 3,627 3,863 -236 310
Stanly 68,784 72,304 3,520 5.1 5,867 8,024 -2,157 5,677
Stokes 46,574 46,569 -5 -0.0 3,248 5,822 -2,574 2,569
Surry 73,116 73,117 1 0.0 6,850 8,275 -1,425 1,426
Swain 16,455 17,517 1,062 6.5 1,681 1,854 -173 1,235
Transylvania 39,182 41,906 2,724 7.0 2,622 5,323 -2,701 5,425
Tyrrell 4,309 4,309 0 0.0 434 443 -9 9
Union 295,739 338,032 42,293 14.3 31,596 23,235 8,361 33,932
Vance 45,338 45,376 38 0.1 4,686 4,842 -156 194
Wake 1,351,791 1,538,731 186,940 13.8 135,692 90,889 44,803 142,137
Warren 19,712 19,607 -105 -0.5 1,365 2,435 -1,070 965
Washington 11,236 10,569 -667 -5.9 986 1,435 -449 -218
Watauga 72,338 82,131 9,793 13.5 5,544 4,787 757 9,036
Wayne 134,448 140,525 6,077 4.5 14,014 12,549 1,465 4,612
Wilkes 73,431 75,775 2,344 3.2 6,197 8,936 -2,739 5,083
Wilson 88,579 93,369 4,790 5.4 8,258 9,505 -1,247 6,037
Yadkin 39,952 40,140 188 0.5 3,491 4,628 -1,137 1,325
Yancey 18,953 19,345 392 2.1 1,513 2,333 -820 1,212
State 11,847,719 12,803,172 955,453 8.1 1,148,373 1,093,173 55,200 900,253
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2017 and Population Projections, Vintage 2018

Return to Top
Last updated December 3, 2018