Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2030-2039
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  Total Population Population Change Natural Increase
County July 2030 Projection July 2039 Projection Numeric Percent Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
Alamance 192,656 208,474 15,818 8.2 21,466 21,974 -508 16,326
Alexander 41,021 43,062 2,041 5.0 3,807 5,609 -1,802 3,843
Alleghany 11,948 12,346 398 3.3 1,139 1,649 -510 908
Anson 25,288 25,288 0 0.0 2,043 3,312 -1,269 1,269
Ashe 30,906 33,392 2,486 8.0 2,429 4,643 -2,214 4,700
Avery 18,031 18,031 0 0.0 1,180 2,415 -1,235 1,235
Beaufort 47,575 47,650 75 0.2 4,198 7,252 -3,054 3,129
Bertie 19,601 19,600 -1 -0.0 1,477 2,620 -1,143 1,142
Bladen 33,912 33,436 -476 -1.4 3,296 4,471 -1,175 699
Brunswick 179,854 210,202 30,348 16.9 12,850 29,436 -16,586 46,934
Buncombe 296,961 323,879 26,918 9.1 25,282 35,417 -10,135 37,053
Burke 95,263 98,257 2,994 3.1 8,974 12,401 -3,427 6,421
Cabarrus 259,075 297,591 38,516 14.9 33,242 25,044 8,198 30,318
Caldwell 87,711 91,152 3,441 3.9 8,208 11,654 -3,446 6,887
Camden 11,266 11,403 137 1.2 924 1,250 -326 463
Carteret 76,536 80,960 4,424 5.8 5,706 10,906 -5,200 9,624
Caswell 23,665 23,667 2 0.0 1,920 3,357 -1,437 1,439
Catawba 170,616 179,716 9,100 5.3 18,317 21,827 -3,510 12,610
Chatham 94,920 110,406 15,486 16.3 8,562 13,215 -4,653 20,139
Cherokee 32,681 34,304 1,623 5.0 2,379 5,250 -2,871 4,494
Chowan 13,592 13,164 -428 -3.1 1,274 1,881 -607 179
Clay 13,770 14,978 1,208 8.8 1,114 2,133 -1,019 2,227
Cleveland 102,157 102,361 204 0.2 10,265 13,822 -3,557 3,761
Columbus 56,219 56,218 -1 -0.0 5,616 7,511 -1,895 1,894
Craven 104,846 104,982 136 0.1 14,098 10,502 3,596 -3,460
Cumberland 335,069 335,137 68 0.0 39,305 31,126 8,179 -8,111
Currituck 32,219 36,058 3,839 11.9 2,883 3,737 -854 4,693
Dare 39,333 40,066 733 1.9 3,427 5,046 -1,619 2,352
Davidson 184,987 197,678 12,691 6.9 19,030 23,043 -4,013 16,704
Davie 49,615 54,699 5,084 10.2 4,551 6,643 -2,092 7,176
Duplin 59,932 60,038 106 0.2 7,082 6,179 903 -797
Durham 366,111 407,324 41,213 11.3 49,296 30,223 19,073 22,140
Edgecombe 51,062 49,813 -1,249 -2.4 5,405 6,890 -1,485 236
Forsyth 418,257 450,125 31,868 7.6 48,396 43,329 5,067 26,801
Franklin 81,204 91,096 9,892 12.2 8,456 9,567 -1,111 11,003
Gaston 239,285 253,970 14,685 6.1 25,896 28,323 -2,427 17,112
Gates 12,254 12,261 7 0.1 792 1,531 -739 746
Graham 8,686 8,687 1 0.0 787 1,176 -389 390
Granville 69,540 76,197 6,657 9.6 6,336 8,270 -1,934 8,591
Greene 21,050 21,050 0 0.0 2,062 2,506 -444 444
Guilford 615,227 688,100 72,873 11.8 70,751 60,614 10,137 62,736
Halifax 47,259 44,040 -3,219 -6.8 4,509 6,541 -2,032 -1,187
Harnett 158,563 177,650 19,087 12.0 21,070 14,407 6,663 12,424
Haywood 68,680 73,061 4,381 6.4 6,154 9,878 -3,724 8,105
Henderson 132,035 140,668 8,633 6.5 12,426 19,086 -6,660 15,293
Hertford 24,006 24,005 -1 -0.0 2,061 3,221 -1,160 1,159
Hoke 66,691 76,686 9,995 15.0 10,506 5,332 5,174 4,821
Hyde 4,929 4,724 -205 -4.2 396 708 -312 107
Iredell 210,452 234,236 23,784 11.3 22,699 23,757 -1,058 24,842
Jackson 49,995 54,624 4,629 9.3 4,373 5,450 -1,077 5,706
Johnston 269,736 319,182 49,446 18.3 35,394 26,151 9,243 40,203
Jones 10,195 10,196 1 0.0 848 1,403 -555 556
Lee 68,325 73,633 5,308 7.8 8,954 7,332 1,622 3,686
Lenoir 51,883 48,213 -3,670 -7.1 5,409 6,981 -1,572 -2,098
Lincoln 99,743 110,290 10,547 10.6 9,372 12,685 -3,313 13,860
Macon 40,862 44,434 3,572 8.7 4,089 6,021 -1,932 5,504
Madison 25,251 27,420 2,169 8.6 2,140 3,452 -1,312 3,481
Martin 21,914 20,904 -1,010 -4.6 2,253 3,268 -1,015 5
McDowell 49,474 51,776 2,302 4.7 4,668 6,700 -2,032 4,334
Mecklenburg 1,348,822 1,542,808 193,986 14.4 161,028 105,611 55,417 138,569
Mitchell 15,310 15,314 4 0.0 1,346 2,181 -835 839
Montgomery 28,158 28,564 406 1.4 3,099 3,470 -371 777
Moore 119,674 133,292 13,618 11.4 13,800 15,528 -1,728 15,346
Nash 97,276 97,580 304 0.3 10,047 12,780 -2,733 3,037
New Hanover 276,409 309,830 33,421 12.1 26,364 28,425 -2,061 35,482
Northampton 18,379 16,663 -1,716 -9.3 1,484 2,435 -951 -765
Onslow 229,277 251,707 22,430 9.8 44,012 15,035 28,977 -6,547
Orange 163,699 177,152 13,453 8.2 12,573 13,434 -861 14,314
Pamlico 13,452 13,602 150 1.1 871 2,166 -1,295 1,445
Pasquotank 39,591 39,588 -3 -0.0 4,393 4,365 28 -31
Pender 76,106 86,480 10,374 13.6 8,190 8,588 -398 10,772
Perquimans 13,923 14,340 417 3.0 1,166 2,135 -969 1,386
Person 41,823 42,649 826 2.0 4,229 5,352 -1,123 1,949
Pitt 193,742 205,201 11,459 5.9 21,350 17,103 4,247 7,212
Polk 23,299 24,420 1,121 4.8 1,528 3,565 -2,037 3,158
Randolph 154,739 162,777 8,038 5.2 17,433 18,572 -1,139 9,177
Richmond 44,123 43,339 -784 -1.8 4,792 5,574 -782 -2
Robeson 125,259 120,516 -4,743 -3.8 14,400 14,527 -127 -4,616
Rockingham 91,865 91,864 -1 -0.0 8,429 12,313 -3,884 3,883
Rowan 149,784 156,118 6,334 4.2 16,066 18,889 -2,823 9,157
Rutherford 72,379 75,326 2,947 4.1 6,458 10,197 -3,739 6,686
Sampson 65,308 65,502 194 0.3 8,712 7,562 1,150 -956
Scotland 35,370 35,079 -291 -0.8 4,009 4,324 -315 24
Stanly 69,309 73,874 4,565 6.6 6,785 9,211 -2,426 6,991
Stokes 46,062 45,988 -74 -0.2 3,590 6,575 -2,985 2,911
Surry 73,231 73,231 0 0.0 7,738 9,474 -1,736 1,736
Swain 13,388 13,264 -124 -0.9 1,397 1,792 -395 271
Transylvania 38,768 41,434 2,666 6.9 2,916 5,912 -2,996 5,662
Tyrrell 4,259 4,261 2 0.0 474 498 -24 26
Union 302,410 355,872 53,462 17.7 38,149 26,886 11,263 42,199
Vance 46,944 47,099 155 0.3 5,442 5,699 -257 412
Wake 1,328,336 1,528,450 200,114 15.1 151,620 103,487 48,133 151,981
Warren 18,885 18,247 -638 -3.4 1,441 2,647 -1,206 568
Washington 11,159 10,412 -747 -6.7 1,106 1,607 -501 -246
Watauga 67,043 74,525 7,482 11.2 5,100 5,236 -136 7,618
Wayne 134,419 141,448 7,029 5.2 16,148 14,310 1,838 5,191
Wilkes 73,377 75,974 2,597 3.5 7,015 10,100 -3,085 5,682
Wilson 87,939 93,148 5,209 5.9 9,460 10,744 -1,284 6,493
Yadkin 38,392 38,410 18 0.0 3,776 5,036 -1,260 1,278
Yancey 20,488 22,013 1,525 7.4 1,893 2,782 -889 2,414
State 11,836,070 12,919,921 1,083,851 9.2 1,311,374 1,246,253 65,121 1,018,730
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2018 and Population Projections, Vintage 2019

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Last updated November 15, 2019