Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2040-2050
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  Total Population Population Change Natural Increase
County July 2040 Projection July 2050 Projection Numeric Percent Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
Alamance 208,019 227,378 19,359 9.3 23,995 28,064 -4,069 23,428
Alexander 42,211 44,135 1,924 4.6 4,046 6,851 -2,805 4,729
Alleghany 13,087 13,873 786 6.0 1,206 1,998 -792 1,578
Anson 22,786 22,300 -486 -2.1 1,879 3,530 -1,651 1,165
Ashe 32,673 35,056 2,383 7.3 2,521 5,727 -3,206 5,589
Avery 19,449 20,123 674 3.5 1,360 3,133 -1,773 2,447
Beaufort 46,955 46,838 -117 -0.2 4,170 8,123 -3,953 3,836
Bertie 17,625 16,757 -868 -4.9 1,339 2,765 -1,426 558
Bladen 33,367 32,925 -442 -1.3 3,196 5,003 -1,807 1,365
Brunswick 213,371 245,966 32,595 15.3 14,979 40,850 -25,871 58,466
Buncombe 303,393 323,423 20,030 6.6 26,230 43,583 -17,353 37,383
Burke 96,431 99,073 2,642 2.7 9,253 14,514 -5,261 7,903
Cabarrus 299,548 341,397 41,849 14.0 38,765 35,174 3,591 38,258
Caldwell 92,212 96,253 4,041 4.4 8,634 14,372 -5,738 9,779
Camden 10,644 10,647 3 0.0 816 1,538 -722 725
Carteret 81,302 86,439 5,137 6.3 6,091 13,576 -7,485 12,622
Caswell 23,349 23,349 0 0.0 2,051 3,855 -1,804 1,804
Catawba 185,203 197,768 12,565 6.8 19,685 28,374 -8,689 21,254
Chatham 106,778 121,744 14,966 14.0 9,272 17,985 -8,713 23,679
Cherokee 34,705 37,307 2,602 7.5 2,718 6,239 -3,521 6,123
Chowan 13,485 13,204 -281 -2.1 1,262 2,044 -782 501
Clay 13,813 14,583 770 5.6 1,143 2,419 -1,276 2,046
Cleveland 104,521 104,605 84 0.1 11,078 16,313 -5,235 5,319
Columbus 51,225 48,978 -2,247 -4.4 4,980 7,885 -2,905 658
Craven 102,396 102,393 -3 -0.0 15,721 10,901 4,820 -4,823
Cumberland 334,831 334,835 4 0.0 46,356 37,450 8,906 -8,902
Currituck 36,092 40,168 4,076 11.3 3,465 5,052 -1,587 5,663
Dare 42,975 43,844 869 2.0 3,793 6,503 -2,710 3,579
Davidson 195,934 209,066 13,132 6.7 20,550 28,542 -7,992 21,124
Davie 54,867 60,475 5,608 10.2 5,002 8,792 -3,790 9,398
Duplin 62,319 62,907 588 0.9 7,476 7,493 -17 605
Durham 411,793 457,724 45,931 11.2 60,948 41,516 19,432 26,499
Edgecombe 43,968 40,083 -3,885 -8.8 4,608 7,216 -2,608 -1,277
Forsyth 445,036 478,900 33,864 7.6 53,409 54,672 -1,263 35,127
Franklin 93,888 105,359 11,471 12.2 10,011 13,413 -3,402 14,873
Gaston 257,446 274,880 17,434 6.8 29,390 35,577 -6,187 23,621
Gates 11,733 11,731 -2 -0.0 778 1,815 -1,037 1,035
Graham 8,416 8,409 -7 -0.1 800 1,267 -467 460
Granville 74,774 81,468 6,694 9.0 6,994 10,951 -3,957 10,651
Greene 20,844 20,843 -1 -0.0 2,048 2,975 -927 926
Guilford 649,608 720,661 71,053 10.9 79,288 76,978 2,310 68,743
Halifax 43,561 40,031 -3,530 -8.1 4,585 7,062 -2,477 -1,053
Harnett 173,721 192,507 18,786 10.8 23,842 18,783 5,059 13,727
Haywood 72,621 77,308 4,687 6.5 6,854 11,995 -5,141 9,828
Henderson 148,116 163,221 15,105 10.2 14,128 24,881 -10,753 25,858
Hertford 23,300 23,301 1 0.0 2,146 3,597 -1,451 1,452
Hoke 61,150 64,201 3,051 5.0 9,752 6,274 3,478 -427
Hyde 4,609 4,363 -246 -5.3 368 824 -456 210
Iredell 231,817 256,414 24,597 10.6 24,936 31,594 -6,658 31,255
Jackson 52,154 56,138 3,984 7.6 4,702 6,460 -1,758 5,742
Johnston 315,026 365,374 50,348 16.0 40,813 37,520 3,293 47,055
Jones 9,986 9,971 -15 -0.2 848 1,568 -720 705
Lee 72,513 78,135 5,622 7.8 9,678 8,993 685 4,937
Lenoir 54,901 54,050 -851 -1.6 6,365 8,085 -1,720 869
Lincoln 113,855 126,743 12,888 11.3 10,828 17,612 -6,784 19,672
Macon 47,862 53,340 5,478 11.4 4,891 7,915 -3,024 8,502
Madison 25,276 26,713 1,437 5.7 2,363 4,102 -1,739 3,176
Martin 20,230 18,951 -1,279 -6.3 2,219 3,375 -1,156 -123
McDowell 49,097 50,482 1,385 2.8 4,554 7,805 -3,251 4,636
Mecklenburg 1,540,320 1,750,805 210,485 13.7 194,004 153,967 40,037 170,448
Mitchell 14,583 14,378 -205 -1.4 1,351 2,315 -964 759
Montgomery 28,393 28,779 386 1.4 3,052 4,006 -954 1,340
Moore 137,848 155,261 17,413 12.6 17,207 20,409 -3,202 20,615
Nash 100,977 101,274 297 0.3 11,174 15,592 -4,418 4,715
New Hanover 300,389 333,439 33,050 11.0 28,963 36,729 -7,766 40,816
Northampton 14,310 11,499 -2,811 -19.6 1,280 1,817 -537 -2,274
Onslow 253,774 275,992 22,218 8.8 55,981 19,270 36,711 -14,493
Orange 177,101 191,784 14,683 8.3 13,789 18,399 -4,610 19,293
Pamlico 13,559 13,729 170 1.3 833 2,514 -1,681 1,851
Pasquotank 39,727 39,727 0 0.0 4,980 5,039 -59 59
Pender 80,591 89,028 8,437 10.5 8,944 10,859 -1,915 10,352
Perquimans 16,012 17,207 1,195 7.5 1,404 2,761 -1,357 2,552
Person 42,498 43,171 673 1.6 4,485 6,452 -1,967 2,640
Pitt 228,596 251,634 23,038 10.1 29,070 23,889 5,181 17,857
Polk 25,224 26,892 1,668 6.6 1,627 4,609 -2,982 4,650
Randolph 160,215 168,016 7,801 4.9 18,274 22,663 -4,389 12,190
Richmond 43,057 42,192 -865 -2.0 5,136 6,120 -984 119
Robeson 128,698 127,765 -933 -0.7 15,667 17,019 -1,352 419
Rockingham 91,587 91,586 -1 -0.0 8,413 14,364 -5,951 5,950
Rowan 155,315 162,309 6,994 4.5 17,341 22,950 -5,609 12,603
Rutherford 76,657 80,605 3,948 5.2 6,889 12,780 -5,891 9,839
Sampson 64,108 64,118 10 0.0 9,005 8,507 498 -488
Scotland 35,225 35,059 -166 -0.5 4,512 4,868 -356 190
Stanly 71,024 74,286 3,262 4.6 7,224 11,129 -3,905 7,167
Stokes 46,875 46,892 17 0.0 3,594 8,431 -4,837 4,854
Surry 75,551 76,720 1,169 1.5 8,012 11,384 -3,372 4,541
Swain 15,309 15,783 474 3.1 1,739 2,226 -487 961
Transylvania 41,331 44,310 2,979 7.2 3,310 7,231 -3,921 6,900
Tyrrell 3,655 3,608 -47 -1.3 417 520 -103 56
Union 338,092 389,312 51,220 15.1 37,125 38,797 -1,672 52,892
Vance 45,466 45,471 5 0.0 5,537 6,206 -669 674
Wake 1,517,529 1,730,067 212,538 14.0 174,523 154,289 20,234 192,304
Warren 16,289 14,625 -1,664 -10.2 1,237 2,552 -1,315 -349
Washington 10,412 9,630 -782 -7.5 1,175 1,665 -490 -292
Watauga 70,705 77,837 7,132 10.1 5,358 6,519 -1,161 8,293
Wayne 135,727 140,722 4,995 3.7 17,215 16,911 304 4,691
Wilkes 75,477 78,236 2,759 3.7 7,311 12,176 -4,865 7,624
Wilson 94,638 100,083 5,445 5.8 10,468 13,873 -3,405 8,850
Yadkin 38,076 38,077 1 0.0 3,758 5,896 -2,138 2,139
Yancey 23,921 26,455 2,534 10.6 2,400 3,511 -1,111 3,645
State 12,821,708 13,967,473 1,145,765 8.9 1,478,962 1,614,688 -135,726 1,281,491
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2019 and Population Projections, Vintage 2020

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Last updated February 22, 2021